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2700 N Valley View Rd
Ashland, OR

2700 N Valley View Rd

$4,500,000
2 bd • 4 ba • 11,084 sf

This analysis was generated by artificial intelligence on 1/22/2025. It is for entertainment purposes only and should not be considered as real estate or investment advice.

List Price

$4,500,000

Price/Sq.Ft

$406

Year Built

2002

AI Property Analysis

A comprehensive evaluation of this property's features, market position, and investment potential.

The Good

This property offers an extraordinary 700-acre estate with breathtaking views of the Siskiyou mountains, just minutes from I-5. The 11,084 sq ft custom-built home, priced at $405.99/sqft, is significantly below the typical luxury market rate of $600-$800/sqft in the area. The property includes unique features such as an 8,880 sq ft main house, a pool, outdoor entertainment space, and an off-grid cabin. The geothermal heating system provides energy efficiency, potentially saving 30-60% on heating costs compared to traditional systems. With a minimal flood risk score of 1/10, the property is well-positioned against water-related damages. The location between San Francisco and Portland offers excellent accessibility, while the surrounding Southern Oregon region is renowned for its wine country and outdoor recreation, enhancing both lifestyle appeal and potential property value.

The Bad

Despite its luxurious features, the property has been on the market for 1,035 days, suggesting potential overpricing or limited market demand. The home's large size (11,084 sq ft) and high price point ($4,500,000) significantly narrow the pool of potential buyers. With only 2 bedrooms, the layout may not be optimal for families or those requiring more sleeping areas, limiting its appeal. The property's $16,200 annual insurance cost is substantially higher than the national average of $1,700, indicating increased risk factors. The severe fire risk score (8/10) and extreme air quality risk (10/10) present significant environmental challenges, potentially impacting long-term enjoyment and value of the property.

The Ugly

The property's price history reveals a concerning trend of significant price reductions, dropping from $8,235,000 in 2016 to the current $4,500,000, a 45.4% decrease. This substantial depreciation raises questions about the property's ability to maintain value. The extreme air quality risk score of 10/10 with 26 bad air days per year poses serious health concerns and could deter potential buyers. The severe fire risk (8/10) not only increases insurance costs but also presents a constant threat to the property and its surroundings. The 3,000 sq ft unfinished basement, while offering potential, represents a significant additional investment to complete. Given the property's unique design and large acreage, maintenance costs are likely to be exceptionally high, potentially reaching $100,000 or more annually.

Who is this property for?

These details are presented solely for entertainment purposes and are not meant to steer or limit any prospective buyer.

Best For

This property is best suited for ultra-high-net-worth individuals with a household income exceeding $1.5 million annually, based on the typical 30% debt-to-income ratio for luxury properties. It's ideal for nature enthusiasts and those seeking privacy and seclusion, as the 700-acre estate offers unparalleled isolation. The property would appeal to art collectors or architecture aficionados who appreciate unique, custom-designed spaces. It's also well-suited for buyers looking for a luxury retreat or second home, particularly those interested in wine country living and outdoor recreation. Investors looking to develop a high-end resort or exclusive retreat center could leverage the property's size and features.

Not For

This property is not suitable for first-time homebuyers or those with a household income below $500,000 due to the high purchase price and maintenance costs. Families requiring multiple bedrooms or traditional layouts will find the 2-bedroom configuration limiting. It's not ideal for those seeking an easy-to-maintain property or individuals with respiratory issues, given the extreme air quality risks. Buyers looking for quick appreciation or a fast resale opportunity should be cautious, considering the property's price history and extended time on market. Those uncomfortable with high fire risk or requiring low insurance costs should look elsewhere.
Demographics
Area Median Income

$63,777

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Risk Assessment

Climate Risks

airEXTREME

26 bad air quality days per year

fireSEVERE

Insurance: Required

heatMODERATE

7 extreme heat days per year

98th percentile: 89°F

floodMINIMAL

FEMA Zone: UNKNOWN

Insurance: Optional

windMINIMAL

Insurance: Optional

Risk Analysis

The severe fire risk (8/10) poses a constant threat, potentially leading to evacuation orders, property damage, or loss. Insurance costs may continue to rise, and coverage could become harder to obtain. The extreme air quality risk (10/10) could lead to health issues and may worsen over time due to climate change. The property's unique design and large size may limit its resale potential, as evidenced by its extended time on market and significant price reductions. The 700-acre land parcel may face future development pressures or zoning changes that could affect property rights or values. Maintenance of such a large, custom property could become increasingly expensive, potentially reaching $150,000-$200,000 annually. The geothermal system, while efficient, may require specialized maintenance and potential costly repairs as it ages.
Insurance
Annual Cost

$16,200

$1,350 per month

Financials

Monthly Costs

Price History

Property Taxes

$31,007
2023 Tax Assessment
3.2%from previous year
Assessed Value$2,415,458
Tax Rate1.28%

Location & Comparables

Subject Property
Comparable Sales
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Frequently Asked Questions

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